How to Protect Your 401k or IRA from a Stock Market Crash

How long do stock market crashes last? How long does it take to recover your losses once a major market downturn occurs? What % of your 401k/IRA should be in stocks/bonds/cash?

With so many Americans leaving the workforce to retire on a daily basis, and over half of them heavily invested into the current stock markets through their current 401k or IRA, it is becoming increasingly important for new retirees to develop a plan to survive an incoming recession.

The next recession is already underway in this blogger’s opinion, going off of economic fundamentals such as slowing retail sales, the Federal Reserves’s decision to stop raising interest rates even a little bit, housing prices dropping and new home starts decreasing, as well as other indicators such as record corporate debt, record personal debt, record student loan debt, and record auto loan defaults.

Fortunately there is still time, but how much time, is anyone’s guess. So for now, retirees should be mentally prepared to adjust their portfolios at the onset of the next recession, since they are not likely to be able to continue working to wait out the market for a recovery, as many unfortunately had to do in 2008. Since it takes an average of 6 or 7 years for stock prices to recover (if the stocks’ underlying company did not go bust during the crash), most people simply cannot afford to hang out in the workforce until they’re 70 years old.

So here’s some things you can do either right now or when you’re reasonably sure the recession has begun in the stock market. Remember, the stock market is not always a good indicator of the real economy, and may be the last domino to fall.

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How to Protect Your 401k or IRA from an Impending Stock Market Crash

 

*A general rule is to have your age in bonds

If you are 60 years old, then around 60% of your holdings should be in safer financial instruments such as bonds and treasuries. The rest could be in stocks, though even that gets riskier as the recession approaches.

*Be ready to convert your stocks into cash and sit on the sideline for the time being

While it’s impossible to time the market, as the clock ticks on, it becomes clear that no business expansion cycle lasts forever. The current expansion cycle, largely boosted by central bank manipulation like quantitative easing as well as corporate stock buybacks and tax cuts for the wealthy, is about to break the record for the longest boom period in market history.

A retiree/potential retiree could start selling off their stocks gradually now and getting into cash in a money market fund or money market bank account. Remember, there is a difference between the two, as the former is not FDIC insured, but is still considered relatively safe

*Take advantage of the only remaining bargains on the market

Gold and silver remain historically undervalued and have found price stability for the last 5 years. While precious metals don’t always go up in price/value tremendously when the economy appears to be doing well, once the recession hits and investors flee to the exits, you can expect metals to go up once again as the Federal Reserve bakes more inflation into the US dollar.

One great way to invest in metals is to invest 30% of your current IRA or 401k into a Gold IRA rollover. We offer a free kit on this site to qualified investors. Just click the link below to find out more.

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What the Stock Market Would REALLY Be Worth Without the Fed and Corporate Stock Buybacks

With the well-known fact that the markets are being artificially propped up by the Fed and record corporate stock buybacks, just what would the market be worth if you took those away?

By the numbers:

*Current Corporate Debt is at $9 Trillion USD
*Current Federal Reserve Sheet Balance is $4 Trillion USD
*Current Stock Market Capitalization in the US is $30 Trillion USD
*Subtracting corporate debt and the fed balance sheet from total market cap gives us a current value of 56% of its current value

The Real Value of the Stock Market?

 
The stock market would be worth only 56.66% of its current value without all the rampant manipulation which punishes Main Street and rewards Wall Street. Savers get decimated, losing out on trillions in potential income from lost savings due to artificially low interest rates to keep the stock market propped up.

To make matters worse, record price to earnings on stock shares are not producing good earnings for companies, housing prices are still out of reach of the average renter in hopes of one day owning their own home, and a global economic slowdown is unfolding, with even China facing its biggest financial risk from a European Union expected to go into recession sometime this or next year.

Current quantitative tightening may prove to be fatal for the current bull market, with recessions ensuing in 10 out of the last 13 times in history when the Federal Reserve raised rates after a period of lower interest rates.

It really is a matter of time before the next market downturn occurs with the US nearing its record for the length of a business expansion cycle. As shipping demand drops on lessened consumer demand, the next recession could be here sooner than people think.

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The Next Recession is Here: Dow Drops 460 Points as Yield Curve Inverts for 1st Time Since 2007

Economic Indicators Say the Recession is Already Here

 
The Dow Jones bled 460 points today as the yield curve inverted for the first time since 2007. With Federal Express reporting missed earnings on what they report as a global economic slowdown and Ali Baba missing expectations along with PayPal for the 1st time in 3 years, it would seem that recession is already here.

Add this to the other telltale indicators that the economy is slowing- retail shutdowns, record corporate stock buybacks within companies to inflate stock share prices, a slowing housing market around the globe, all-time highs in personal, corporate, municipal, national, and world debt– and you’ve got the perfect financial storm on the horizon.

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The Federal Reserve Signals They Won’t Be Raising Rates Now or Any Time Soon

 
When you think of a strong economy, do you think of an economic environment where banks can’t even pay you a rate of interest for holding your money there that keeps up with real inflation? This is common sense to many, but don’t tell that to mainstream media.

The Federal Reserve had said it would continue to raise interest rates to normalize over the coming years, but 2018 showed exactly what happens whenever the government attempts to take the banking and financial sector out of a zero interest rate environment. The market tanks and the Dow Jones drops like it’s having a stroke. This was the case Christmas Eve of 2018, and what led Fed Chairman Powell to 100% about face on any interest rate hikes in the forseeable future.

The Next Recession is Here: Dow Drops 460 Points as Yield Curve Inverts for 1st Time Since 2007

 
Another horrible down day for the markets with the S&P 500 suffering the most declines just reminds everyone how fragile the stock market is. And now, the yield curve has inverted for the first time since 2007, which means long term treasuries now pay less than near term treasuries.

So why would anyone buy a 10-yr Treasury Bond if a 3-month bond paid you more? Exactly, you wouldn’t. And this is the biggest tried-and-true indicator of them all that a recession is already here, because the last time it happened in 2007, the housing market crashed followed by stocks. The same yield curve inversion happened before the 2000 recession and the 1989 recession as well.

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The Great Recession Never Ended

 
At this point, it doesn’t take a financial genius to see that the consumer is tapped out and unable to spend on credit like they were for the last 10 years of quantitative easing and other neat tricks the Federal Reserve employed in an attempt to drive the economy out of “The Great Recession”. What happened, in reality, is that the Fed inflated the bubble even larger, and instead of bailing out the economy, the government should have allowed natural market and economic forces to take their course.

Instead, we’re all waiting for the next great calamity that, this time, will not be fixed by simply printing more money, but may actually result in a total system change for the world reserve currency and monetary system.

No wonder the insiders, central banks, and countries around the world are buying up and hoarding gold at a record pace.

Watch what they do, not what they say.

Video: The ONLY Reason the Stock Market Went Up for the Past 3 months

 

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